Seminar: Assessing the Trade Policy Proposals of the Presidential Candidates


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Brown Bag Seminar by Dr. Marcus Noland, Non-Resident Senior Fellow-East-West Center, Executive Vice President and Director of Studies-Peterson Institute for International Economics

When: Jul 28 2016 - 12:00pm until Jul 28 2016 - 1:00pm
Where: John A. Burns Hall, Room 3012, East-West Center

The share of international trade in US national income has risen steadily from 9 percent in 1960, to roughly 30 percent today and the annual gain to the US economy from international trade is on the order of $1 trillion a year. Expanded trade has contributed to income growth, but has probably exacerbated income and wealth inequality as well. As a consequence, the US appears to be at the cusp of a potential turning point where the next Administration could reverse course on 80 years of movement toward freer trade and enhanced multilateral cooperation. This seminar will present quantitative estimates of the possible impact on the US and Hawaiian economies of trade policies advocated by the two major party presidential nominees. These possibilities include the rejection of the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the imposition of high tariffs on trade with Mexico and China, and the abrogation of existing free trade agreements.

Marcus Noland is a Non-Resident Senior Fellow at the East-West Center and the Executive Vice President and Director of Studies at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He worked for the Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton Administration, and has held research or teaching positions at Yale University, the Johns Hopkins University, the University of Southern California, Tokyo University, the Japanese National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, the University of Ghana, and the Korea Development Institute.

Primary Contact Info:
Name: Laura Moriyama
Phone: 808-944-7444
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