Seminar on Tools, Toys and Turmoil: Modeling HIV epidemics in Asia


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Seminar on Population and Health

When: Apr 2 2008 (All day)
Where: Burns Hall room 2012


Seminar on Population and Health

Tools, Toys and Turmoil
Modeling HIV epidemics in Asia


Tim Brown
Senior Fellow, East-West Center

Wednesday, April 2, 2008
12:00 – 1:00 pm

John A. Burns Hall
Room 2012, 2nd floor

Over the last year, the mainstream media has raised substantial questions about global HIV estimates, largely driven by a major downward revision in the number of people living with HIV in India. This presentation will discuss how estimates have been made in the past, the issues that make these estimates uncertain, and the tools that are used to model HIV in Asian settings. The tools developed by the East-West Center, the Asian Epidemic Model and the UNAIDS Estimation and Projection package, will be presented and their strengths and limitation discussed. The talk will conclude by presenting the regional projection results recently prepared for the Commission on AIDS in Asia and discussing what can be done to effectively contain epidemics in the region.

Tim Brown is a Senior Fellow in Population and Health Studies at the East-West Center. He currently works with UNAIDS, FHI, Research Triangle Institute, Futures Institute and other regional partners to develop estimation and projection tools and methodologies for global and Asia-specific application and to implement more comprehensive integrated policy analysis of Asian HIV epidemics and responses. He has recently served as a member of the Commission on AIDS in Asia, whose report will be released at the United Nations on March 26th. His research interests include public policy for HIV/AIDS prevention, mitigation and treatment, HIV and children, infectious disease epidemiology, HIV related behaviors, and modeling and projection of HIV and its impacts.

Primary Contact Info:
Name: Minja Choe
Phone: 944-7475