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The Long Shadow: Nuclear Weapons and Security in 21st Century Asia The Long Shadow: Nuclear Weapons and Security in 21st Century Asia
Format
paper
Pages
592
ISBN
978-0-8047-6087-4

Winner of the 2009 Outstanding Academic Title Award, sponsored by Choice.

The Long Shadowis the first comprehensive, systematic examination of the roles and implications of nuclear weapons in the dramatically different post-Cold War security environment. Leading experts investigate the roles and salience of nuclear weapons in the national security strategies of twelve countries and the ASEAN states, and their implications for security and stability in a broadly defined Asian security region that involves the Middle East. The study also investigates the prospects for nuclear terrorism in Asia.

A chief conclusion of the study is that nuclear weapons influence national security strategies in fundamental ways and that deterrence continues to be the dominant role and strategy for the employment of nuclear weapons. Offensive and defensive strategies may increase in salience but will not surpass the deterrence function. Another major conclusion is that although there could be destabilizing situations, on balance, nuclear weapons have reinforced security and stability in the Asian security region by assuaging national security concerns, strengthening deterrence and the status quo, and preventing the outbreak and escalation of major hostilities.

As nuclear weapons will persist and cast a long shadow on security in Asia and the world, it is important to reexamine and redefine "old" ideas, concepts, and strategies as well as develop "new" ones relevant to the contemporary era. In line with this, the global nuclear order should be constructed anew based on present realities.

© Stanford University Press

 

Details and ordering information at Stanford University Press

Contents
Introduction: Investigating Nuclear Weapons in a New Era

Part I: Historical, Strategic, and Conceptual Perspectives
  1. Asia's Security Environment: From Subordinate to Region Dominant System
  2. Exploring Roles, Strategies, and Implications: Historical and Conceptual Perspectives

    Part II: National Nuclear Policies and Strategies
    The Nuclear Weapon States

     
  3. United States: Nuclear Policy at a Crossroads
  4. Russia: "New" Inconsistent Nuclear Thinking and Policy
  5. China: Dynamic Minimum Deterrence
  6. India: The Logic of Assured Retaliation
  7. Pakistan: The Tragic Dilemma of Nuclear Deterrence
  8. Israel: A Sui Generis Proliferator

    Aspirant States and Nonstate Actors
     
  9. North Korea: Existential Deterrence and Diplomatic Leverage
  10. Iran: The Nuclear Quandry
  11. Nuclear Terrorism: Prospects in Asia

    Allies of Nuclear Weapon States
     
  12. Japan: New Nuclear Realism
  13. South Korea: Fears of Abandonment and Entrapment
  14. Taiwan: Conventional Deterrence, Soft Power, and the Nuclear Option
  15. Australia: Back to the Future?

    Southeast Asia
     
  16. ASEAN: The Road Not Taken

    Part III: Conclusion
     
  17. Nuclear Weapons and National Security: Far-Reaching Influence and Deterrence Dominance
  18. Reinforcing National Security and Regional Stability: The Implications of Nuclear Weapons and Strategies

Winner of the 2009 Outstanding Academic Title Award, sponsored by Choice.

The Long Shadowis the first comprehensive, systematic examination of the roles and implications of nuclear weapons in the dramatically different post-Cold War security environment. Leading experts investigate the roles and salience of nuclear weapons in the national security strategies of twelve countries and the ASEAN states, and their implications for security and stability in a broadly defined Asian security region that involves the Middle East. The study also investigates the prospects for nuclear terrorism in Asia.

A chief conclusion of the study is that nuclear weapons influence national security strategies in fundamental ways and that deterrence continues to be the dominant role and strategy for the employment of nuclear weapons. Offensive and defensive strategies may increase in salience but will not surpass the deterrence function. Another major conclusion is that although there could be destabilizing situations, on balance, nuclear weapons have reinforced security and stability in the Asian security region by assuaging national security concerns, strengthening deterrence and the status quo, and preventing the outbreak and escalation of major hostilities.

As nuclear weapons will persist and cast a long shadow on security in Asia and the world, it is important to reexamine and redefine "old" ideas, concepts, and strategies as well as develop "new" ones relevant to the contemporary era. In line with this, the global nuclear order should be constructed anew based on present realities.

© Stanford University Press

 

Details and ordering information at Stanford University Press

Contents
Introduction: Investigating Nuclear Weapons in a New Era

Part I: Historical, Strategic, and Conceptual Perspectives
  1. Asia's Security Environment: From Subordinate to Region Dominant System
  2. Exploring Roles, Strategies, and Implications: Historical and Conceptual Perspectives

    Part II: National Nuclear Policies and Strategies
    The Nuclear Weapon States

     
  3. United States: Nuclear Policy at a Crossroads
  4. Russia: "New" Inconsistent Nuclear Thinking and Policy
  5. China: Dynamic Minimum Deterrence
  6. India: The Logic of Assured Retaliation
  7. Pakistan: The Tragic Dilemma of Nuclear Deterrence
  8. Israel: A Sui Generis Proliferator

    Aspirant States and Nonstate Actors
     
  9. North Korea: Existential Deterrence and Diplomatic Leverage
  10. Iran: The Nuclear Quandry
  11. Nuclear Terrorism: Prospects in Asia

    Allies of Nuclear Weapon States
     
  12. Japan: New Nuclear Realism
  13. South Korea: Fears of Abandonment and Entrapment
  14. Taiwan: Conventional Deterrence, Soft Power, and the Nuclear Option
  15. Australia: Back to the Future?

    Southeast Asia
     
  16. ASEAN: The Road Not Taken

    Part III: Conclusion
     
  17. Nuclear Weapons and National Security: Far-Reaching Influence and Deterrence Dominance
  18. Reinforcing National Security and Regional Stability: The Implications of Nuclear Weapons and Strategies