The Wrong Numbers: The Perils of Ignoring Demography in East Asia


Michael Sutton

Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 85


Washington, D.C.: East-West Center

Publication Date: December 3, 2010
Binding: electronic
Pages: 2
Free Download: PDF


The alleged decline of the United States and the concomitant ascendancy of the People's Republic of China (PRC) are fashionable ideas these days. The narrative constructed from these twin ideas asserts that China possesses, or will soon possess, economic credentials superior to those of the United States, ultimately resulting in a massive transfer of economic and political power in China's favor. However, Michael Sutton argues that the rising China narrative "ignores demographic realities" and warrants a closer examination of demographic trends and challenges in neighboring East Asian countries.

The views expressed in this publication are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the policy or position of the East-West Center or any organization with which the author is affiliated.